Skip to main content

SA’s September retail sales recover slightly

| Economic factors

South Africa's retail sales recovered according to data on Wednesday, halting a slide from a likely contraction although some sectors revealed consumers remained under pressure as economic growth slowed.

Retail sales grew 1.4 percent year-on-year in September, marginally higher than expectations of 1 percent from a Reuters forecast, with food sales growing the fastest but, crucially, continued contractions in sales of clothing and household items.

“It is clear that households are battling to shake off the effects of higher inflation and interest rates, both of which are still being acutely felt,” said senior analyst at First National Bank Jason Muscat.

The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has raised rates cumulatively by 200 basis points since early 2014, but looks set keep them on hold again at next Thursday's policy meeting as economic growth continues to stumble.

Sales of furniture, appliances and equipment contracted by 3.8 percent, a sixth consecutive month of contractions. Clothing sales shrunk 1.5 percent.

The slump mirrored a slowdown in household spend on durable goods, which the central bank in September said had contracted for a sixth consecutive quarter, citing low consumer confidence and poor employment prospects.

Household consumption makes up about 50 percent of gross domestic product in Africa's most industrialised country, but with the economic growth forecast at 0.5 percent by the Treasury, analysts warned of a contraction after a surprise 1.2 percent expansion in the second quarter.

“The retail sales data caps the releases we've seen so far pointing to Q3 growth faltering again,” said chief Africa analyst at Standard Charted Razia Khan, adding that she expected the central bank to keep a hold on its tightening cycle.

 Reuters

Pin It

Related Articles

By Jerome Jacobs, Managing Director: Grocery and Liquor at The SPAR Group South Africa's prolonged weak economic growth, continued high levels of unemployment, squeezed household budgets, and the escalating cost of living have transformed the way c…
Pick n Pay says its partnership with FNB eBucks is helping attract more shoppers and strengthen customer loyalty, with the retailer reporting double-digit year-on-year growth in FNB customers shopping in-store and through its asap! app.
South African motorists are set to face steeper fuel costs from Wednesday, 6 May, with increases in both petrol and diesel exceeding earlier projections.
Rising fuel prices are continuing to push up the cost of food, with the price of a basic nutritional basket for a seven-person household now sitting 12.4% above the national minimum wage.
After April delivered record-breaking increases in petrol and diesel prices—partly cushioned by a temporary R3 per litre tax relief—South Africans are anxiously awaiting clarity on what lies ahead for May.