Skip to main content

Inflation picks up a little faster than expected

| Economic factors

Inflation, as measured by the annual change in the consumer price index (CPI), accelerated to 5.1% in September from 4.8% in August.

This was worse than the economists’ consensus of 4.9%, but remained comfortably within the Reserve Bank’s target range of 3%-6%.

The CPI measures changes in the price of consumer goods and services purchased by households in urban areas.

On average, prices increased by 0.5% between August and September.

Food inflation continued to moderate. Food and nonalcoholic prices rose 5.5% from a year earlier in September, after a 5.7% increase in August and a 6.8% rise in July.

Economists had expected inflation to edge up in September, due to higher petrol costs and the expected effect of quarterly price surveys of rental inflation and domestic workers’ wages.

Many economists expect inflation to fall to the midpoint of the inflation target range in early 2018 before stabilising at about 5.5% in the second half of the year.

The Reserve Bank did not cut interest rates at the last monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting in September but economists expect a 25 basis point cut in November.

Pin It

Related Articles

On 25 February 2026, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana addressed Parliament with a message framed around recovery. His narrative traced the country’s journey from financial distress to cautious renewal.
The national Budget, delivered this week by Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana on behalf of National Treasury, reinforces government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation in a constrained economic environment.
As South Africans prepare for the upcoming National Budget Speech, many households are reflecting on how potential economic adjustments may influence their monthly expenses.
Retail trade in South Africa is projected to improve moderately in 2026, aided by softer inflation and a more supportive interest rate outlook, after growth lost momentum over the festive period.
South Africa’s consumer landscape is shifting, but according to Dr Greg Cline, Head of Portfolio Management at Investec, this change isn’t being driven by interest rates anymore.